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2018年7月12日 星期四

On The Money — Sponsored by Prudential — Lawmakers demand answers from Mnuchin on tariffs | Fed chief lays out stakes of Trump trade war | Consumer prices rise at highest rate in six years | Feds to appeal AT&T merger ruling

 
 
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Happy Thursday and welcome back to On The Money, where we're wondering who else Sacha Baron Cohen was able to trick. I'm Sylvan Lane, and here's your nightly guide to everything affecting your bills, bank account and bottom line.

See something I missed? Let me know at slane@thehill.com or tweet me @SylvanLane. And if you like your newsletter, you can subscribe to it here: http://bit.ly/1NxxW2N.

Write us with tips, suggestions and news: slane@thehill.com, vneedham@thehill.com, njagoda@thehill.com and nelis@thehill.com. Follow us on Twitter: @SylvanLane, @VickofTheHill, @NJagoda and @NivElis.

 

THE BIG DEAL--Lawmakers demand answers from Mnuchin on Trump tariffs: Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on Thursday drew fire from a bipartisan group of House lawmakers concerned with severe economic damage caused by trade battles with China and key U.S. allies.

Lawmakers warned Mnuchin that President Trump's tariffs on steel, aluminum and Chinese goods -- coupled with the retaliations they spurred -- could cost businesses in their districts hundreds of jobs and millions of dollars in revenue.

Republicans and Democrats were largely united in voicing concern over the Trump administration's trade policy days after the president unveiled planned tariffs on an additional $200 billion worth of Chinese goods.

Mnuchin told the House Financial Services Committee that Trump was taking essential steps to curb Chinese trade violations and that the administration was paying close attention to the tariffs' impact on U.S. businesses.

But that did little to assuage the fears of lawmakers who pleaded with Mnuchin for clarity on the administration's goals and timeline for action.

"Not only do tariffs harm American consumers, they harm many American employers and American workers," said Rep. Jeb Hensarling (R-Texas), the panel's chairman. "I appreciate the words but I am concerned about the deeds." I take you to the contentious hearing right here.

 
 

 
 

ON TAP TOMORROW



LEADING THE DAY

Powell lays out stakes of Trump's trade war: Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell said Thursday that the central bank is "hearing a rising level of concern" from U.S. businesses about the impact of President Trump's tariffs.

Powell said in a radio interview with Marketplace that corporate leaders and analysts in contact with the Fed have become more alarmed about the potential harm Trump's trade policy could do to the economy.

The chairman added that while the economy would benefit if Trump's actions lead to lower tariffs and barriers for U.S. goods, a protracted trade war could create "very challenging" economic conditions.

Powell said that high tariffs "sustained for a long period of time" could "be a negative for our economy," but that "it's very hard to sit here today, and say which way that's going."

His comments come two days after Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on an additional $200 billion in Chinese goods. Those tariffs would follow levies on $50 billion in Chinese exports that are already finalized or in the pipeline. I have more on Powell's comments and projections here.

On interest rates: Powell also insisted that no one in the White House, including President Trump, had put any pressure on him to keep interest rates low despite their public comments in favor of looser monetary policy. "Nothing has been said to me publicly or privately that gives me any concern about our independence," Powell said.

 

Consumer prices rise at highest annual rate since 2012: Consumer prices rose 2.9 percent in the year since June 2017, a six-year high, while hourly wages fell 0.2 percent in the same period, according to federal data released Thursday.

The consumer price index (CPI) rose almost three percent over the past year, the highest annual increase since February 2012, according to federal data. But hourly wage earnings adjusted for inflation decreased despite record-low unemployment and U.S. businesses struggling to fill thousands of jobs.

Economists have struggled to understand why wage growth has lagged while unemployment lingers near 4 percent and growth nears closer to 3 percent of GDP. Consumer prices are starting to rise at levels close to the Federal Reserve's target after years of meager increases.

The Fed is keeping a close eye on inflation as it proceeds with several planned interest rate hikes. The central bank is eager to prevent higher spending, tax cuts and the burgeoning trade war from driving prices to unsustainable highs.

 

MARKET CHECK: Reuters: "U.S. stocks climbed on Thursday as top technology names hit record highs and industrials rebounded, offsetting worries about a U.S.-China trade war.

"The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 225.45 points, or 0.91 percent, to 24,925.9, the S&P 500 gained 24.31 points, or 0.88 percent, to 2,798.33 and the Nasdaq Composite added 107.31 points, or 1.39 percent, to 7,823.92."

 
 

 
 

GOOD TO KNOW

  • A committee meeting to iron out differences between the House and Senate versions of a three-bill spending package was abruptly canceled Thursday morning, throwing a wrench into plans to restore regular order to spending legislation.
  • GOP Sen. Jeff Flake (Ariz.) is dropping his automatic opposition to President Trump's circuit court nominees after the Senate took a symbolic shot at the president's tariff authority. 
  • The Justice Department on Thursday filed to appeal a federal judge's decision to approve the $85 billion AT&T-Time Warner merger.
  • A bipartisan group of senators is urging negotiators on Capitol Hill to retain a provision in the annual defense policy bill that would block President Trump's deal to save Chinese telecommunications giant ZTE.
  • Rep. Patrick McHenry, a member of House Republican leadership and the GOP front-runner to become the next chairman of the Financial Services Committee, told Bloomberg that his party should move on from trying to repeal the Dodd-Frank Act.
  • Shahira Knight, a top White House economic adviser who was instrumental in advancing President Trump's tax-cut law, will become the president's next emissary to Capitol Hill, the White House announced on Thursday.



ODDS AND ENDS

  • China tried to step up pressure on Washington in their growing tariff war Thursday by suggesting U.S. companies lobby American leaders, according to the AP.
  • Op-Ed: Former White House senior trade economist Christine McDaniel, senior research fellow at the Mercatus Center, suggests three approaches for dealing with China's unfair trade practices.
 
 
 
 
 
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Overnight Health Care: Trump official defends suspending insurer payments | What Kavanaugh's nomination means for ObamaCare | Panel approves bill to halt employer mandate

 
 
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Welcome to Thursday's edition of Overnight Health Care.

The Trump administration says it has reunited all of the children under the age of five who were being held by the Department of Health and Human Services with their parents. But that's only half of the total number of children eligible for being reunified who are in custody.

Also, we have the latest on Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh, including a look at the impact he could have on ObamaCare in the future.

But first, a top administration health official said ObamaCare payments to insurers had to be cut off, because the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services had not choice after a lower court ruling.

 

Verma defends canceling key ObamaCare payments

CMS Administrator Seema Verma is defending her move from over the weekend that set off a scramble among insurers and sparked new fears of rising premiums.

Verma told reporters at a policy breakfast on Thursday in Washington, D.C. that a court made her do it.

"We really are in a tough spot," Verma said. "I think that there's been a lot of discussion about whether the Trump administration is making a decision. We're not making a decision. The court has told us what to do here ... at the end of the day, we have to abide by the court's ruling."

Plenty of skeptics: But some legal experts disagree, and say CMS had other options beyond stopping all payments to comply with the ruling.

Insurers are pushing for the administration to quickly restart the payments, known as risk adjustment.

Verma said CMS is asking the court to reconsider, but until that happens, its hands are tied.

"We've been trying to figure out, is there a solution? We understand the impact to the market [but] we have to follow what the courts say," Verma said.

More from Verma here.

 

Speaking of court cases...

At the same event, Verma fielded questions about why the administration has not stopped approving Medicaid waivers with work requirements. A federal judge in D.C. recently blocked Kentucky's waiver, the first work requirements CMS ever approved.

Unlike the risk adjustment case, where Verma said the only option was to stop making the payments, she did not say CMS will stop approving waiver requests after the court ruling. Instead, Verma only said the Trump administration views state flexibility as important, and is committed to granting as much of it as possible.

CMS has approved waivers from four states--including Kentucky-- that want to impose work requirements, premiums, and other types of coverage restrictions on Medicaid beneficiaries. Eleven other states are interested.

 

What does Kavanaugh's nomination mean for ObamaCare?

We spoke to legal experts about what Kavanaugh's nomination means for the health care law, in particular from one legal challenge.

Democrats are making the legal threat to ObamaCare a big part of their fight against President Trump's Supreme Court nominee.

But legal experts are skeptical that the law is seriously at risk from the latest lawsuit, filed by Texas and 19 other GOP-led states.

  • Ilya Somin, a libertarian law professor at George Mason University, said the latest lawsuit against the health law is "sufficiently outlandish that it's highly unlikely to prevail."
  • Chris Walker, an Ohio State law professor and former law clerk for Justice Anthony Kennedy, said: "I doubt there are more than a couple votes on the court" against ObamaCare in the latest case.

Legal background: The latest case argues that all of ObamaCare should be invalidated because one provision, the mandate to have coverage, is unconstitutional. Experts say that arguments flies in the face of Supreme Court precedent on how much of a law to strike down when one part is overturned.

Read more here.

 

Trump administration says all eligible kids have been reunited with parents

According to HHS, all eligible children under 5 years old who were separated from their parents at a U.S. border crossing have been reunited, two days after a court-mandated deadline.

Federal officials identified 103 total kids in HHS custody who were taken from their families after their parents crossed into the country illegally. But only 57 were deemed eligible to be reunited with parents.

HHS said 46 other children were not eligible for reunification. Some of their parents haven't cleared background checks, or they have criminal records, or they have been deported without their children.

Significance: HHS missed the deadline, and only 57 kids were reunited. Officials defended the speed of the reunification efforts, and said HHS is screening all the adults with DNA tests and background checks. But there's another, bigger deadline coming up that could prove even more challenging.

The rest: The administration faces a July 26 deadline to reunite children ages 5 to 17. HHS wouldn't give the most recent number of those children they have in custody, but the number is far greater than 103.

More details here.

 

Report shows 1.6 billion doses of opioids shipped to Missouri from 2012 to 2017

Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.) has been vocal on the opioid crisis for a while, and she has a new report showing a flood of opioid shipments to her state.

The report -- a product of the senator's ongoing investigation into opioid manufacturers and distributors -- shows that three pharmaceutical distribution companies together shipped 1.6 billion doses of opioids to the state between 2012 and 2017, contributing to Missouri's raging opioid epidemic.

"It's staggering. Over six years we averaged 260 pills for every man, woman, and child in Missouri," McCaskill said in a statement.

What to watch: McCaskill is facing a tough reelection race this year, and could make efforts to fight opioid abuse an issue.

ThrowbackWe wrote in April that McCaskill has sponsored a bill to give the Drug Enforcement Administration more power to seize suspicious opioid shipments. But the bill hasn't gained traction among Republicans, and she thinks politics could be at play.

Read more here on her new report.

 

Planned Parenthood and the Susan B. Anthony List release dueling ads on SCOTUS nominee

Planned Parenthood and the Susan B. Anthony List are both out with digital ads targeting senators ahead of Brett Kavanaugh's (yet to be scheduled) confirmation vote.

The details:

  • Planned Parenthood's six-figure digital ad buy will air in all 50 states through July, specifically focusing on "the danger Kavanaugh's nomination poses to reproductive rights." View the ad here.
  • The SBA List released six digital ads Thursday targeting red state Democrats: Joe Manchin (W.Va.), Joe Donnelly (Ind.), Heidi Heitkamp (N.D.), Claire McCaskill (Mo.), Doug Jones (Ala.) and Bill Nelson (Fla.) All except Jones are running competitive reelection bids in states won by President Trump in 2016. Jones isn't up for reelection until 2022, but is still seen as a key vote in the confirmation fight because he represents a deep red state. View the ad targeting Heidi Heitkamp here.

 

The House Ways and Means Committee turned its focus back to ObamaCare, passing two bills that would slowly chip away at it.

  • One measure, sponsored by GOP Reps. Devin Nunes (Calif.) and Mike Kelly (Pa.), would temporarily repeal ObamaCare's employer mandate and a tax on high cost employer-sponsored health plans.
  • Another bill, sponsored by GOP Reps. Peter Roskam (Ill.) and Michael Burgess (Texas) would allow the use of ObamaCare's tax credits for plans outside of the exchanges in the individual market. It would also allow anyone to purchase a catastrophic plan -- plans that are cheaper but cover fewer services and are currently only available for those under 30.

What's next: The bills could potentially get a vote in the House, where Republicans have a large majority. But don't count on them coming up for a vote in the Senate in an election year.

 

What we're reading

Dem senator: Kavanaugh would 'turn back the clock' on women's health care (The Hill)

Poll finds strong support for Roe v. Wade (The Hill)

Bucking Trump, health insurers expand ObamaCare footprints (Forbes)

Democrats say Kavanaugh could help end ObamaCare, but court likely to deal with narrower issues (The Washington Post)

Medicaid website hides some ObamaCare information, group says (CNN.com)

 

State by state

Maine Gov. Paul LePage says he'd go to jail before he expands Medicaid (Associated Press)

Utah: No change to plans for Medicaid with work requirement (Associated Press)

 

Op-eds in The Hill

Trump signs GA Mission Act -- this is a health care win for vets

Benefit of CVS/Aetna merger far outweigh the costs

 
 
 
 
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Breaking News: Justice Department appeals Time Warner-AT&T merger

 
 
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Justice Department appeals Time Warner-AT&T merger
The Justice Department on Thursday filed to appeal a federal judge's decision to approve the $85 billion AT&T-Time Warner merger.
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