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2018年10月2日 星期二

News Alert: Red-state Dems face nightmare scenario on Kavanaugh

 
 
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Red-state Dems face nightmare scenario on Kavanaugh
Senate Democrats up for reelection this year in deep-red states face a nightmare decision on how to handle Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh.

Vulnerable Democrats are hoping Republicans will force him to withdraw his nomination, allowing them to avoid politically divisive votes.
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The Hill's Morning Report — FBI’s scope widens in Kavanaugh probe | McConnell says Senate will vote on nomination this week | Polling exposes fresh divisions among Americans over Kavanaugh fight | Trump, Pence fan out to save GOP Senate majority | Obama endorses progressive candidates | Dems aim to repair blue wall in the Midwest | Trump’s NAFTA victory faces hurdles in Congress | Midterms polling roundup

The Hill's Morning Report
 

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Welcome to The Hill's Morning Report and happy Tuesday. This daily email gets you up to speed on the most important developments in politics and policy, plus trends to watch. (CLICK HERE to subscribe!) Jonathan Easley is hosting solo this week while co-creator Alexis Simendinger is out of town. Find him on Twitter @joneasley.

 

📺 Hill.TV's "Rising" program, starting at 8 a.m., features Diana De La Garza and Eric Bolling discussing opioids addiction. Alan Morrison, associate dean at George Washington University Law School, will talk about the Supreme Court and Brett Kavanaugh's nomination. http://thehill.com/hilltv

 

The FBI has been thrust into the center of a sticky new political jam, this time with the lifetime appointment of a potential swing-vote on the Supreme Court hanging in the balance.

 

After struggling to move beyond questions of its handling of the investigations into Hillary Clinton and President Trump, the bureau and its Director Christopher Wray find themselves in the middle of another election year controversy, this time through no fault of their own.

 

The latest…

 

The New York Times reported Monday that the White House reached out to the FBI to inform investigators that they could expand their probe into allegations of sexual misconduct against Brett Kavanaugh – so long as the background check is concluded by the end of the week.

 

The Hill: FBI's Kavanaugh scope widens as GOP seeks votes.

 

The initial investigation was said to be limited to current and credible allegations against Kavanaugh. The FBI was set to reach out to Christine Blasey Ford, who accused Kavanaugh of forcibly groping her at a high school party in 1982, Deborah Ramirez, who claims Kavanaugh exposed himself at a Yale University party in the early 1980s, and a handful of acquaintances or friends of Kavanaugh, Ford and Ramirez.

 

But the scope and timing of the probe quickly became a political problem for Republicans.

 

Democrats have accused the White House of blocking the FBI from conducting a comprehensive investigation. On Monday, Senate Judiciary Democrats released a list of more than two-dozen witnesses they said must be interviewed for the investigation to be credible.

 

That list includes Julie Swetnick, who has alleged that Kavanaugh attended "gang rape" parties where she and other young women were assaulted. Swetnick is represented by Michael Avenatti, the attorney for Stormy Daniels.

 

Trump and Republicans do not find Swetnick's allegations credible, but the president said Monday he's fine if the FBI wants to investigate them.

 

            "It wouldn't bother me at all … but I want it to be done quickly because it's unfair to the family and to the judge." – Trump

 

The Associated Press: Swetnick has history of legal disputes.

MSNBC: An interview with Swetnick. In it, NBC News anchor Kate Snow acknowledges that details in Swetnick's story have changed and that NBC could not verify her claims.

 

The FBI investigation must be thorough and credible enough to satisfy Sens. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.), Susan Collins (R-Maine) and Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska), who are waiting on the outcome before announcing how they'll vote.

 

"It does no good to have an investigation that just gives us cover." - Flake on Monday in New Hampshire.

 

With a 51-49 majority in the Senate, the GOP can only afford to lose one of those three if all Democrats vote no. Sen. Joe Manchin (D- W. Va.) is seen as the Democrat most likely to vote yes, but he's currently undecided.

 

The Hill: Red-state Democrats face nightmare scenario on Kavanaugh.

Reuters: Emboldened protesters step up effort to block Kavanaugh.

 

In a floor speech on Monday, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said that no amount of concessions Republicans make will be enough to satisfy Democrats.

 

            "I bet almost anything that after it runs its course in the next few days, we will then be treated to a lecture, a lecture that anything short of a totally unbounded fishing expedition of indefinite duration is too limited or too arbitrary or somehow insufficient. We all know that's coming. If you listen carefully you can practically hear the sounds of the Democrats moving the goalposts." - McConnell

 

McConnell said the Senate will move ahead with a vote on the Kavanaugh nomination this week once the FBI's investigation concludes (The Hill).

 

In the interim, Kavanaugh's drinking as a young man has come under scrutiny from Democrats and the press.

 

The Associated Press: Democrats question Kavanaugh's credibility, temperament.

The Washington Post: Dueling narratives about Kavanaugh's drinking.

 

Polling

 

Harvard CAPS/Harris: More Americans oppose Kavanaugh's nomination than support it, but opinions on the nominee are largely split and many are undecided.

Quinnipiac University: Massive gender, racial and partisan gaps in views on Kavanaugh.

CBS News/YouGov: Kavanaugh hearing spurs more division.

Hill.TV American Barometer: Voters strongly support FBI investigation into Kavanaugh allegations.

 

Analysis

 

The Hill: Dems see Kavanaugh fight driving women to the polls.

NBC News: Predictions of a "Kavanaugh wave" in November - but for Democrats or Republicans?

Bloomberg: Kavanaugh battle expands historic gender gap before election.

 

Perspectives

 

Frank Cannon: The left's attacks on Kavanaugh will backfire.

Mara Gay: Make my sexual assault count.

David French: The case against Kavanaugh collapses.

Heather Digby Parton: White male rage boils over but women aren't scared anymore.

Sharyl Attkisson: Kavanaugh case opens door to dangerous range of accusations.

 
LEADING THE DAY

CAMPAIGNS & POLITICS: Trump will hold a campaign rally tonight in Southaven, Miss., a state with two Senate seats up for grabs in November.

 

Sen. Roger Wicker (R), who Trump backed against a conservative challenger in the primary, should cruise to reelection.

 

But there is some drama in the race to serve out the remainder of former GOP Sen. Thad Cochran's term - a three-way contest between Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith, who was appointed to replace Cochran, state Sen. Chris McDaniel (R) and former Rep. Mike Espy (D).

 

Trump is backing Hyde-Smith in the race and will stump for her tonight. If no candidate earns at least 50 percent of the vote, the top two vote-getters on Nov. 6 will move to a runoff election later in the month, regardless of party affiliation.

 

USA Today: Espy seeks to prove a black Democrat can win in the deep South.

 

Vice President Pence will also spend the day on the campaign trail, first in Bozeman, Mont., for GOP candidate Matt Rosendale, who is taking on Sen. Jon Tester (D-Mont.), and later in Spokane, Wash., where he'll stump for Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers, the No. 4 Republican in the House who is a top target for Democrats.

 

And look who else is back – former President Obama has released his second wave of endorsements, this time in support of 260 Democrats running for office (The Hill).

 

Obama's notable inclusions:

> Tallahassee Mayor Andrew Gillum (D), who is running for governor in Florida against Rep. Ron DeSantis (R).

The Hill: Sen. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.) to get a boost from Gillum in toughest reelection fight in years.


> Former NAACP president Ben Jealous, who is running against Maryland's Republican governor, Larry Hogan.

 

> Progressive House candidate Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D), whose upset victory over longtime Rep. Joseph Crowley (D-N.Y.) in a primary election earlier this year shook Washington.

Notable exclusions:

 

> Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-Texas), who is giving Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) a run for his money.

 

> Rep. Keith Ellison (D-Minn.), who is running for state attorney general amid domestic abuse allegations from a former girlfriend.

 

> New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D).

 

Polling roundup

 

The Hill: Democrats lead House generic ballot by 9 points.

The Memo: New polling from Bannon group pushes hard-edged strategy for GOP.

NBC/Mason-Dixon: Rep. Kevin Cramer (R) leads Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D) by 10 points in North Dakota.

Strategic Research Associates: Manchin leads Republican challenger Patrick Morrisey by 8 points in W. Va., despite Trump's high approval rating there.

CNN: Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill has a narrow lead over Republican challenger Josh Hawley in Missouri; Rep. Jacky Rosen (D) edging incumbent Sen. Dean Heller (R) in Nevada.

Stockton University: Sen. Bob Menendez (D) in dead heat with GOP challenger Bob Hugin in New Jersey.

Emerson College: Republican Kris Kobach tied with Democrat Laura Kelly for Kansas governor.

 

More on campaigns and politics … Election ahead, Trump's advisers try to get him to hold back (The Associated Press) … Democrats are looking to repair the blue wall in Midwestern states that came tumbling down in 2016 (The Hill) … As former Vice President Joe Biden prepares for 2020, can he overcome the Clarence Thomas hearings? (The New York Times) … Congress has temporarily averted a shutdown but the real threat comes during the lame-duck session, when Republicans might be more willing to go to the mat for Trump's border wall, particularly if they lose control of the House (The Hill) … GOP sets Charlotte 2020 convention for late August, more than a month after Democrats will hold theirs (The Hill).

 
IN FOCUS/SHARP TAKES

 WHITE HOUSE & ADMINISTRATION: Trump secured a major victory this week when the U.S., Canada and Mexico reached a last-minute deal to preserve the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which the president says will be called the United States, Mexico, Canada Agreement, or USMCA.

 

The Hill: Five things to know about Trump's new NAFTA deal.

CNBC: Key differences between Trump's new trade deal and NAFTA.

 

The markets surged and Trump took a victory lap, calling it "the most important trade deal we've made so far" and declaring it would turn the U.S. back into a "manufacturing powerhouse."

 

The Hill's Jordan Fabian reports:

 

            "The announcement represents a significant victory for Trump, who has constantly railed against the quarter-century-old trading pact with Mexico and Canada ... But congressional approval remains uncertain, especially if Democrats take control of the House in the November midterm elections."

 

Indeed, speaking from the Rose Garden, the president acknowledged that tough fights lie ahead for his signature global trade pact. The earliest the House could take the deal up is in December when lawmakers return after the midterm elections for the lame-duck session.

 

            "Anything you submit to Congress is trouble, no matter what." – Trump

 

Liz Peek: New NAFTA deal a big win for Trump's America First agenda.

Catherine Rampell: Trump's historic trade deal doesn't look so historic after all.

 

> Trump on Monday awarded the Medal of Honor to former Staff Sgt. Ronald Shurer, a former Army medic who saved the lives of U.S. and Afghan troops amid enemy gunfire during a 2008 mission (The Hill).

 

Army Times: "Wake up! You're not going to die today." The story of how this Green Beret medic earned the Medal of Honor.

 

© Twitter

 

More from the administration … Melania Trump visiting Africa, a continent freighted with history for her husband (The New York Times) … Ellen Mitchell has a profile of national security adviser John Bolton's top deputy Mira Ricardel, who is described as a no-nonsense, tough-as-nails government official who doesn't suffer fools gladly (The Hill).

 
OPINION

The FBI's 37 pages of secret memos on Russia and the Clintons, by The Hill's John Solomon. http://bit.ly/2OzbV9z

 

Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein's departure would test Americans' commitment to rule of law, by Ulysses Smith, opinion contributor for The Hill. http://bit.ly/2Ql7uwb

 
WHERE AND WHEN

The House is in recess and will reconvene on Nov. 13.

 

The Senate reconvenes at 10 a.m. and will consider the long-term reauthorization of the Federal Aviation Administration.

 

The president addresses the National Electrical Contractors Convention at the Pennsylvania Convention Center in Philadelphia. Later this evening, Trump will hold a campaign rally at the Landers Center in Southaven, Miss.

 

Pence is in Bozeman, Mont. to campaign for Rosendale. Later in the day, Pence travels to Spokane, Wash., to deliver remarks on behalf of McMorris Rodgers.

 

The Partnership for Public Service gives out the 2018 Service to America Medals, or Sammies, to outstanding federal workforce employees. Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos will receive the group's first honorary private sector award. Follow the ceremony live on Facebook. http://bit.ly/2DKXgnq

 
ELSEWHERE

> MBA applications decline at elite schools as degree loses luster (The Wall Street Journal).

 

> California experiments with criminal justice reforms that could serve as a template for other states (The Hill).

 

> Indonesia says death toll from earthquake and tsunami rises above 1,200 (Reuters).

 

 > Laser breakthroughs win Nobel prize in physics (BBC).

 
THE CLOSER

And finally

 

The Las Vegas Strip went dark last night to commemorate the first anniversary of a shooting rampage at an outdoor country music festival. Fifty-eight people were killed and hundreds more were injured. It was the deadliest mass shooting in modern U.S. history.

 

The Associated Press: Dimmed lights, somber tributes on Vegas shooting anniversary.

 

© Twitter

 

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2018年10月1日 星期一

Overnight Energy — Presented by Southern Utah Wilderness Alliance — Trump targets EPA mercury rule | Supreme Court appears divided on frog case | Wheeler defends EPA rollbacks | Big oil backs new NAFTA deal

 
 
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EPA TAKES AIM AT MERCURY POLLUTION RULE: The Trump administration is advancing a proposal that could weaken the legal justification behind a major 2011 Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) rule limiting mercury pollution.

EPA spokesman John Konkus on Monday said that the proposed change was sent to the White House on Friday for review by Office of Management and Budget, as the New York Times first reported Sunday.

It is the final step before the rule change can be released to the public for comment.

The rule would be yet another in a string of regulatory changes that could greatly benefit the coal industry.

The proposal wouldn't repeal the Mercury and Air Toxics Standards (MATS) rule, which at an estimated compliance cost of $9.6 billion, is the most costly rule in the EPA's history. It has been blamed for shutting down scores of coal-fired power plants.

Instead, it would change the cost-benefit analysis by removing "co-benefits," or benefits that the regulation brought from reducing air pollutants that were not directly regulated.

The Trump administration believes it is improper to count those benefits in the cost-benefit analysis. The Obama administration estimated the rule would bring more than $80 billion in benefits, but the mercury-related gains were only a small part of that at about $4 million.

"The draft proposed rule sent to OMB is aimed at correcting the agency's approach to weighing costs and benefits consistent with the [Supreme] Court's direction," Konkus said.

"It is not intended to roll-back or reduce important health protections associated with the continued reduction of mercury."

Read more.

 
 

 
 

Wheeler defends action: Acting EPA chief Andrew Wheeler defended the action later Monday, saying the underlying rule isn't being repealed and accusing the Times of mischaracterizing the proposal.

"Whoever was their source either didn't understand what we're proposing, or they purposely mislead the New York Times," he said at a children's health event at EPA headquarters.

A reporter pointed out that the EPA already took action, under Obama, to answer the Supreme Court's objections about cost-benefit analysis.

"We don't believe the proposal before actually addressed the Supreme Court concerns that they raised. So that's what our proposal's about," Wheeler said.

What's next: OMB review is supposed to take as much as 60 days, but it depends on any number of factors.

After that, the EPA is free to unveil the proposal and invite public comment on it.

 

Happy Monday! Welcome to Overnight Energy, The Hill's roundup of the latest energy and environment news.

Please send tips and comments to Timothy Cama, tcama@thehill.com, and Miranda Green, mgreen@thehill.com. Follow us on Twitter: @Timothy_Cama, @mirandacgreen, @thehill.

CLICK HERE to subscribe to our newsletter.

 

JUSTICES DIVIDED OVER FROG CASE: A shorthanded Supreme Court started off its new term Monday seemingly split on what's become a big dispute over a tiny endangered frog.

Fresh off summer recess, the justices spent their first hour back on the bench grappling with whether the federal government can legally designate a 1,500-acre tract of private land in Louisiana a "critical habitat" for the dusky gopher frog when the amphibian doesn't live on the property and can't live on it without altering the land.

Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Samuel Alito, members of the court's conservative wing, questioned how far landowners should be expected to go to create a livable habitat for endangered or threatened species under the Endangered Species Act.

"What's the limit?" Roberts asked.

Weyerhaeuser Company, which is challenging the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service's (FWS) 2012 designation along with the property's other owners, argues the land now used to harvest timber is unsuitable for the frog.

The amphibian needs isolated, ephemeral ponds in an open canopy forest to breed, as well as open non-breeding land close to the ponds and open land covered with herbaceous plants connecting the two.

Timothy Bishop, the challenger's attorney, argued the timberland would have to be totally remade to support a frog that hasn't been seen on the property since 1965. The frog is currently known to only live in Mississippi.

"This is an intensive 1500-acre tree farm," Bishop said. "The trees are planted 10 to 12 feet apart. There is no groundcover because the sunlight does not reach the forest floor, and we don't want it to because that interferes with tending to the trees."

But Deputy Solicitor General Edwin Kneedler said the land contains rare breeding ponds that need to be preserved to support the frog's survival.

"Here the restoration efforts are entirely in sync with the use of the land," he said. "I mean, there are uplands with trees. As I say, they could be thinned."

Read more.

 

Court won't take Grand Canyon uranium case: The Supreme Court declined to hear a case challenging the government's ban on uranium mining in the Grand Canyon, a major blow to industry groups hoping to mine for the nuclear material.

The court said it would not hear the case brought by the National Mining Association and the American Exploration and Mining Association, which challenged the Interior Department's ban as being based on an unconstitutional provision of the law.

The rejection leaves in place a December appeals court decision that upheld the ban.

In 2012, Obama administration Interior Secretary Ken Salazar instituted the ban, partly because the neighboring Havasupai Tribe relies on groundwater from the area to survive.

"The lands in and around the Grand Canyon have always been the homeland of the Havasupai People," Muriel Coochwytewa, the tribe's chairwoman, said in a statement Monday.

"Our ancestors lived and died amongst the sacred sites that cover this land. The mineral withdrawal is a necessary way to protect the land and the water that our people and our village depend upon, and we are grateful that the Supreme Court has agreed with the 9th Circuit's conclusion ― that our lands and our people must be preserved."

Read more.

 

WHEELER DEFENDS ROLLBACKS AT CHILDREN'S HEALTH EVENT: The EPA's Wheeler on Monday emphatically defended his agency's environmental policy rollbacks as he argued that the EPA is significantly contributing to children's health.

At the event in a courtyard at the EPA's Washington headquarters celebrating Child Health Day, Wheeler faced numerous questions from reporters about how the Trump administration's efforts to ease major regulations will impact children, a population considered especially vulnerable to pollution.

Wheeler repeatedly maintained that the EPA isn't touching "health-based" standards, and criticized the accounting methods that forecast widespread health impacts from the changes he is carrying out.

"We set the health-based standards based on what is necessary to protect health, including children," he told reporters.

He said the proposals to roll back greenhouse gas emissions standards for cars and power plants pertain to energy efficiency.

"Neither one of those is health-based standards per se," he said. "We have our separate health-based standards. We have not changed those. They're still in effect. They'll still be in effect next year, tomorrow."

Wheeler said that the EPA's own figures showing health impacts for the rollbacks -- such as that the proposed replacement for the Obama administration's Clean Power Plan would cause 1,400 additional deaths -- are based on "co-benefits," or the benefits obtained from reducing pollutants that are not directly regulated, like nitrogen oxides and particulate matter.

"We believe the math the Obama administration used is a little suspect," he said.

Read more.

 

BIG OIL BACKS NAFTA DEAL: The American Petroleum Institute (API) is backing the Trump administration's latest iteration of the North America Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), calling the proposal "critical."

Following the announcement that Trump had helped the U.S. come to a trilateral agreement with Mexico and Canada on Sunday, API on Monday urged Congress to approve the measure that the administration is calling the United States, Mexico, and Canada Agreement (USMCA).

“Having Canada as a trading partner and a party to this agreement is critical for North American energy security and U.S. consumers,” API said in a statement on the deal.

“Retaining a trade agreement for North America will help ensure the U.S. energy revolution continues into the future.”

Read more.

Click here for five things to know about the deal. Trump took a victory lap on Monday, but congressional approval is still up in the air.

 

ON TAP TUESDAY:

The Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee will meet to vote on public lands bills. Senators are expected to consider bipartisan legislation to indefinitely renew the just-expired Land and Water Conservation Fund and to create a new fund to use energy revenue from federal land and offshore to pay down the National Park Service's nearly $12 billion maintenance backlog.

 
 

 
 

OUTSIDE THE BELTWAY:

General Electric Co. ousted John Flannery as its CEO, replacing him with Larry Culp, Reuters reports.

The partners in a planned liquefied natural gas (LNG) terminal in Kitimat, British Columbia, have made the final investment decision to go ahead with the project, the Vancouver Sun reports.

A Northern California billionaire will reopen access to the beach next to his property after the Supreme Court declined Monday to hear his case, the San Jose Mercury News reports.

 

FROM THE HILL'S OPINION SECTION:

Cutter W. González, policy analyst in the Armstrong Center for Energy and the Environment at the Texas Public Policy Foundation, says California's solar panel and clean energy mandates will make living there more expensive.

 

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT:

Check out stories from Monday and the weekend ...

- Supreme Court rejects industry's plea to hear Grand Canyon uranium mining case

- Big oil backs new NAFTA deal

- EPA chief defends rule rollbacks while at children's health event

- Court appears divided over protected land for frog in first case of term

- Trump moves to target EPA mercury regulation

- Republicans accelerate efforts to overhaul Endangered Species Act

- Key conservation fund for parks set to expire

 
 
 
 
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