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2018年5月2日 星期三

Overnight Finance: Fed holds rates steady but sees inflation rise | Crucial month ahead for Trump on trade | US businesses added 204K jobs in April | Lawmakers eye new powers for panel on foreign investment

 
 
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Happy Wednesday and welcome back to Overnight Finance, where we would happily accept an interview with Robert Mueller. I'm Sylvan Lane, and here's your nightly guide to everything affecting your bills, bank account and bottom line.

See something I missed? Let me know at slane@thehill.com or tweet me @SylvanLane. And if you like your newsletter, you can subscribe to it here: http://bit.ly/1NxxW2N.

 

THE BIG DEAL: The Federal Reserve on Wednesday kept interest rates steady as the central bank continues to gauge increases in inflation and industrial stresses on an otherwise solid economy.

The Fed kept interest rates at the 1.5 to 1.75 percent target range it set in March -- the first rate hike under Chairman Jerome Powell, who took control of the bank in February.

Fed officials were not expected to raise rates Wednesday, but will likely increase rates at least twice more in 2018. The bank is aiming to return interest rates to historic normal averages while allowing the economy to grow at a stable pace.

The Fed said "on a 12-month basis, both overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy have moved close to 2 percent."

"Inflation on a 12-month basis is expected to run near the Committee's symmetric 2 percent objective over the medium term," the Fed said.

The Fed indicated that it would continue with gradual rate hikes without accelerating the timeline in response to inflation. I've got more here. 



Reactions:

  • "A Fed hold on interest rates in May likely sets up a rate hike in June. We have increased our forecast for federal funds to a total of 4 rate hikes this year – with an additional increase in June, September, and December." -- Ben Ayers, senior economist at Nationwide.
  • "The Fed's gradual approach to interest rate increases was justified by inflation running below 2 percent, but with inflation now on the cusp of that threshold the Fed may become more proactive about raising rates in an effort to keep inflation contained."  -- Greg McBride, Bankrate's chief financial analyst.
 
 
 
 

ON TAP TOMORROW

 

LEADING THE DAY

US firms add 204,000 jobs in April: U.S. businesses added 204,000 jobs in April as the labor market maintains steady growth and shows no signs of slowing down. 
Hiring was strong across a broad range of sectors as monthly jobs growth eclipsed 200,000 for the sixth straight month, payroll processor ADP said on Wednesday. 

Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Analytics, which oversees the ADP report, said U.S. companies are "aggressively" hiring despite increasing headwinds. 

"Despite rising trade tensions, more volatile financial markets and poor weather, businesses are adding a robust more than 200,000 jobs per month," Zandi said.

"At this pace, unemployment will soon be in the threes, which is rarified and risky territory, as the economy threatens to overheat," he said. The Hill's Vicki Needham has more here.



Big month ahead for Trump's trade agenda. Trump's trade agenda is at a crossroads, with the White House facing a series of key decisions this month that could determine whether he can successfully map out a new course on one of his signature issues.

On at least three different fronts, Trump is likely to have big decisions to make in May.

1) U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer is scheduled to meet his counterparts in the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) on Monday, with the administration hoping to complete talks on a revised NAFTA this month.

2) High-level talks will take place in China on Thursday and Friday between Washington and Beijing.

3) And a fight is also brewing with Europe and other U.S. allies over Trump's proposed tariffs on steel and aluminum imports.

The Hill's Vicki Needham and Niv Elis have more here on what is shaping up to be a crucial May for Trump on trade.

 

Top Chinese economic adviser to meet with US trade delegation: Chinese President Xi Jinping's senior economic adviser is slated to meet with a U.S. trade delegation in Beijing on Thursday and Friday as tensions over trade between the two countries heat up.

China said in a statement on Wednesday that Vice Premier Liu He would "exchange views" on trade with the U.S. delegation, which will include Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow and trade and manufacturing adviser Peter Navarro, according to Reuters.

Chinese foreign ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying said in a news conference on Wednesday that she expected the talks to be constructive if the U.S. acted in good faith.

 

Alarmed by foreign deals, lawmakers eye new review powers: Lawmakers are pushing to bolster the power of a secretive federal panel that monitors foreign investments for national security risks.

The House and Senate are close to acting on a bipartisan proposal that would expand the kinds of business deals that can be blocked or impeded by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), an interagency committee led by the Treasury secretary. 

The Trump administration has endorsed the bill, which would expand the jurisdiction of CFIUS and add layers of national security analysis to the panel's reviews.

Republicans and Democrats wary of China's economic ambitions and trade practices have cheered those moves.

But some lawmakers and businesses are fretting about an expansion of CFIUS's power and influence. They fear the bill being considered in Congress could put unnecessary restraints on foreign investment and allow CFIUS to stray from its mandate. I explain why here.

 

Rubio: Tax law is positive but could have done even more for workers: Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) on Wednesday elaborated on his thoughts about the GOP tax law, after comments he made about the corporate tax cut frustrated some conservatives.

Rubio, who voted for the tax law in December, recently told The Economist that there's "no evidence" that the corporate tax cut has massively benefited workers. The remarks disappointed some on the right who have been touting the law's benefits ahead of the midterm elections and excited Democrats who have been railing against the law.

In an op-ed for National Review published Wednesday, Rubio said the GOP tax law helps Americans but could have been even more beneficial for working families.

"An updated framework for supply-side tax cuts would apply President Ronald Reagan's great aphorism: Trust, but verify," he wrote for the right-leaning news outlet. "We need an internationally competitive corporate tax rate, but the gains from corporate tax cuts should be geared to benefit Americans as much as possible." The Hill's Naomi Jagoda has more



MARKET CHECK: Stocks took moderate losses today as the Fed reaffirmed its plans to continue with gradual interest rate hikes. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 each dropped 0.72 percent, while the Nasdaq fell 0.42 percent.

 

GOOD TO KNOW

  • The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Wednesday launched a searchable database of individuals who've been targeted by the federal watchdog for breaking trading laws.
  • The Defense Department is ordering retail stores on military bases to stop selling products made by Chinese telecom firms Huawei and ZTE, citing security concerns.
  • Surging demand at U.S. factories is leading to system-wide bottlenecks that are weighing on business and potentially the broader economy, according to Bloomberg.
  • Cities denied by Amazon in its search for a home for its new headquarters are taking the company's advice on how to improve, according to The Wall Street Journal.
  • Over the past 48 hours, key figures in the GOP have uttered head-scratching statements about the tax-cuts bill that will be millstones for those Republicans fighting for their political lives in the midterm elections.
  • Shares of social media company Snap plummeted by as much as 20 percent Wednesday following disappointing earnings, and as Wall Street still sees room on the downside, according to CNBC.
  • Bloomberg News is rolling out a paywall for its website.
  • Brazil accused the U.S. of breaking off negotiations over Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs last week, seeming to contradict the White House version of events, according to The New York Times.

 

ODDS AND ENDS

  • Thousands of artifacts stolen from Iraq and smuggled out of the country have been returned to the Iraqi government, the Justice Department announced Wednesday. The return of the artifacts comes after arts-and-crafts chain Hobby Lobby agreed to forfeit the artifacts as well as $3 million in civil penalties over the company's role in the smuggling scheme.
  • Before he was President Trump's personal lawyer, Michael Cohen worked as a personal injury lawyer reportedly covering clients who allegedly staged car accidents in order to sue for large sums of money.
  • Cambridge Analytica, the political consulting firm at the center of the data scandal that has engulfed Facebook, announced Wednesday that it is shutting down.
  • President Trump has asked a federal court to dismiss a lawsuit alleging that he violated the Constitution by collecting profits from his luxury hotel.
  • Hillary Clinton says being a capitalist probably hurt her with Democratic voters in 2016.
 
 

Write us with tips, suggestions and news: slane@thehill.comvneedham@thehill.comnjagoda@thehill.com, and nelis@thehill.com. Follow us on Twitter: @SylvanLane,  @VickofTheHill@NJagoda, and @NivElis.

 
 
 
 
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Hillicon Valley: Cambridge Analytica shutting down | Pentagon bars military stores from selling Chinese phones | Debate over 'hacking back' heats up

 
 
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The Cyber and Tech overnights have joined forces to give you Hillicon Valley, The Hill's new comprehensive newsletter detailing all you need to know about the tech and cyber news driving the day from Capitol Hill to Silicon Valley.

 

Welcome! Follow the tech team, Ali Breland (@alibreland) and Harper Neidig (@hneidig), and the cyber team, Morgan Chalfant (@mchalfant16) and Olivia Beavers (@olivia_beavers), on Twitter.

 

CAMBRIDGE ANALYTICA SHUTTING DOWN: Cambridge Analytica, the GOP political research firm that dragged Facebook into a massive data scandal, announced on Wednesday that it would be closing its doors and filing for bankruptcy in the U.S. and UK along with its parent company, the SCL Group.

"While this decision was extremely painful for Cambridge Analytica's leaders, they recognize that it is all the more difficult for the Company's dedicated employees who learned today that they likely would be losing their jobs as a result of the damage caused to the business by the unfairly negative media coverage," Cambridge Analytica said in a statement.

"Despite the Company's precarious financial condition, Cambridge Analytica intends to fully meet its obligations to its employees, including with respect to notice periods, severance terms, and redundancy entitlements."

The company's improper collection of the Facebook data of 87 million people touched off a firestorm that engulfed the social network and pushed regulators around the world to launch investigations into its data practices. Facebook has said it would be auditing the firm to determine whether it really had destroyed the trove of data like it promised two years ago.

Facebook's response: "This doesn't change our commitment and determination to understand exactly what happened and make sure it doesn't happen again. We are continuing with our investigation in cooperation with the relevant authorities."

--The controversy has prompted Facebook to roll out a series of privacy reforms, the latest of which came on Tuesday when it announced that users will be able to clear their browsing history.

According to The Wall Street Journal, which first reported the news about Cambridget Analytica closing on Wednesday, the company had been losing clients since news of the scandal broke in March.

And Gizmodo, which had the scoop on the firm closing its U.S. offices, reported that company morale was not great ahead of Wednesday's announcement.

--From their story: "Screenshots from the company's internal chat service obtained by Gizmodo show a darkly comic mood in anticipation of the call. One employee shared bleakly titled Spotify playlists in Slack featuring songs like 'High and Dry' by Radiohead, 'The End' by The Doors, and 'Help!' by The Beatles. Another employee posted a still from Titanic showing the ship's band playing their instruments as the vessel sinks."

In other Facebook news, the company's PR/apology tour continued with the announcement that Facebook tapped outside auditors to review the platform for racial and anti-conservative bias.

 

MORE TROUBLE FOR CHINESE TELECOMS: The Defense Department is ordering retail stores on military bases to stop selling products made by Chinese telecom firms Huawei and ZTE, citing security concerns.

"Huawei and ZTE devices may pose an unacceptable risk to Department's personnel, information and mission," Major Dave Eastburn, a Pentagon spokesman, said in a statement. "In light of this information, it was not prudent for the Department's exchanges to continue selling them to DoD personnel."

Eastburn would not go into details about the nature of the security concerns, but cited public testimony from intelligence officials warning that the firms may be compromised by the Chinese government.

The order was given to military bases around the world on April 25, the spokesman said.

Why Pentagon is acting now: In February, intelligence leaders told Congress that they would advise against Americans purchasing products from the two firms, warning that their devices could be used to conduct espionage on behalf of Beijing.

The big picture: The government is increasingly going after Chinese tech firms hoping to gain a foothold in the U.S. Last month, the FCC voted to move forward with a proposal to ban such companies from subsidy programs for broadband and phone access.

To read more, click here.

 

DEBATE AROUND 'ACTIVE CYBER DEFENSE' HEATS UP: The debate around whether companies should be able to engage in "active cyber defense" is heating up.

Often described by critics as "hacking back," the controversial concept involves organizations employing a variety of techniques to prevent breaches or track down the perpetrators in the event their systems are attacked.  

Legislation awaiting the signature of Gov. Nathan Deal in Georgia would allow individuals to engage in active defense measures in the name of cybersecurity, potentially clearing the way for companies and private citizens to hack into other networks for the sake of protecting their own systems.

Google, Microsoft and others in the technology industry have mounted a campaign against the bill, warning of the potential for grave ramifications. They have urged Deal to veto it before the May 8 deadline.

Why it's important: The fight in Georgia is being closely watched in Washington, where Reps. Tom Graves (R-Ga.) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) have introduced legislation that would allow companies and private citizens to engage in some active defense measure" against hackers.

So ... what is it? The defensive actions could include techniques like using beaconing technology to determine the location of a hacker, deploying honeypots to fool adversaries or leaving one's network to track down stolen data.

The proponents of active cyber defense say these methods would help companies protect their networks from attacks and identify hackers who have breached their systems to steal information or conduct other nefarious activity.

But what about the critics? When it comes to the bill in Georgia, executives from Microsoft and Google warn that the provision "broadly authorizes the hacking of other networks and systems under the undefined guise of cybersecurity."

"Network operators should indeed have the right and permission to defend themselves from attack, but, before Georgia endorses 'hack back' authority in 'defense' or even anticipation of a potential attack with no statutory criteria, it should have a much more thorough understanding of the ramifications of such a policy," they wrote in a letter to Deal.

To read more, click here.

 

WHAT'S HILL-HAPPENING:

REMEMBER ME? Al Franken hammered major technology companies in one of his first public speeches since resigning from the Senate over allegations of sexual misconduct.

Franken criticized Silicon Valley firms, in particular Facebook, for what he viewed as their careless handling of user data.

"Facebook doesn't have to care about the privacy and security of their users' online information because there's no mass exodus when it violates those rules," Franken said during a cybersecurity conference in Lisbon, Portugal, on Tuesday.

He called instances like Facebook's data scandal with Cambridge Analytica and Russian election interference "not surprising" given "tech companies' failure to protect users, and the U.S. government's failure to hold them accountable."

Franken argued that the threat of Russians attempting to manipulate tech platforms is still present.

"They'll be back. They never left," he said.

A familiar issue for Franken. In November, before being pressured to leave Congress, Franken gave a scathing speech lambasting tech firms and arguing that they should be more tightly regulated.

 

LIGHTER TWITTER CLICK: 

The ACLU has some thoughts on Facebook's dating service.

 

A CRITICAL FLAW: 

Researchers have discovered a new vulnerability in technology widely used to operate critical services such as oil and electric systems that they warn hackers could exploit.

The vulnerability, disclosed Wednesday by cybersecurity firm Tenable, impacts two applications used to program industrial control systems powering critical infrastructure in the United States and elsewhere.

Tenable publicly disclosed the vulnerability after reporting it to Schneider Electric, an international energy management company headquartered in France that produced the applications.

Schneider Electric has already issued patches for the affected systems.

Researchers say that exploiting the vulnerability successfully could give hackers complete control of the underlying system and allow them to move laterally through the network.

A hacker could theoretically gain access to the human-machine interface (HMI) --technology used by an individual to control the industrial system -- and potentially shut down or disrupt operations.

"An attacker can completely take over the machine that is being used to program the component of the industrial control system," said Dave Cole, chief product officer at Tenable. "There's any of a number of ways that this could be used for industrial espionage or even destruction."

Why you should care: The revelation comes amid heightened scrutiny of vulnerabilities that could impact critical infrastructure, after U.S. officials divulged efforts by Russian hackers to target the U.S. energy sector.

To read more, click here.

 

IN WITH THE OLD, OUT WITH THE NEW: Ty Cobb, White House lawyer and Trump's point man on the Russia investigation, is out. Who's in? Emmet Flood, who represented former President Bill Clinton during his impeachment proceedings.

Speaking of the president's legal team ... it's lacking security clearances, reports Bloomberg.

 

TODAY'S OPINION: 

The legal framework for counter-drone operations is critical to the future.

 

NOTABLE LINKS FROM AROUND THE WEB:

The Trump administration is considering scrapping a directive governing offensive cyber activities. (CyberSccop)

A cyberattack hit Knox County's election commission. (WBIR)

The TSA is looking for 'innovative solutions' from tech startups to help bolster security screenings (Department of Homeland Security)

Digital rights groups wrote a letter to Facebook's shareholders about the company's record on human rights

Mark Zuckerberg doesn't understand journalism, says writer Adrienne LaFrance (The Atlantic)

 
 
 
 
 
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SearchCap: Crawl budget, content development & shopping ads

 


 
Featured story
 

[Report] Shopping ads are eating text ads: accounted for 60% of clicks on Google, 33% on Bing in Q1

 

May 2, 2018 by Ginny Marvin

Merkle's Q1 2018 report shows Shopping campaigns dominate retailers' paid search click volume.

 
From Search Engine Land
 
The ultimate guide to bot herding and spider wrangling — Part Two
  May 2, 2018 by Stephan Spencer

Next up in a series on bots and why crawl budgets are important, Columnist Stephan Spencer explains how to direct the engine bots to what's important on your site and how to avoid common coding issues.

 
Searcher intent: The secret ingredient behind successful content development
  May 2, 2018 by Dave Davies

Contributor Dave Davies takes the guesswork out of determining what type of content will resonate with an audience by creating Excel formulas to help determine what a searcher may be looking for.

From Marketing Land
 
Facebook unveils new analytics features, including a tool to track the omnichannel journey
  May 2, 2018 by Robin Kurzer

The social media company made this announcement — and many others — at F8, its developer conference in San Jose.

 
Searcher intent: The secret ingredient behind successful content development
  May 2, 2018 by Dave Davies

Contributor Dave Davies takes the guesswork out of determining what type of content will resonate with an audience by creating Excel formulas to help determine what a searcher may be looking for.

 
Let's face it — clickbait works. Here's how to use it to your advantage
  May 2, 2018 by John Lincoln

Hook people with a creative title using the right words as "bait," and searchers will click your links, says contributor John Lincoln. Here are 9 examples of successful titles that encourage better click-through rates.

 
Marketo buys Bizible, adds 'deeper attribution' to its engagement platform
  May 2, 2018 by Robin Kurzer

The move gives marketers the ability to track the buyer journey across all activation points.


 
 

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Attend SMX Advanced for actionable, expert-level SEO and SEM tactics. At SMX Advanced, we do not slow down to cover the basics. Don't miss this once a year opportunity to attend the only truly advanced search marketing conference in the nation. Join us in Seattle for an unrivaled professional experience. View pass options and register today!

 

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