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2018年11月5日 星期一

The Hill's 12:30 Report — Presented by the Counter Extremism Project — One day to midterms | Trump, Obama face off | High turnout raises Dem hopes | 10 Senate seats most likely to flip | Cook report shifts 9 House races to Dems | What to know for Election Day | New Iran sanctions kick in | Trump grants sanctions waivers | El Chapo's trial begins | 2nd National Doughnut Day of 2018

The Hill 12:30 Report
Presented by the Counter Extremism Project | View in Browser
 
NEWS THIS MORNING

Black Friday deals for three Iranian nuclear facilities:

 

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced Monday that the Trump administration is granting sanctions waivers to three Iranian nuclear facilities. Why this is newsy: As of today, the U.S. has re-imposed sanctions against Iran. http://bit.ly/2Orn9IP

 

From Pompeo: "We have decided to grant narrow and temporary waivers that permit continuation of three nonproliferation projects currently underway. Allowing these activities to continue for the time being will improve ongoing oversight of Iran's civil nuclear program and make these facilities less susceptible to illicit and illegal nuclear uses. Rest assured, Iran will never come close to getting a nuclear weapon."

 

It's Monday -- tomorrow is Election Day! To freak you out a little, Christmas is 50 days from today. And to freak you out even more, Barack Obama was elected president 10 years ago today. 

 

I'm Cate Martel with a quick recap of the morning and what's coming up. Send comments, story ideas and events for our radar to cmartel@thehill.com, @CateMartel and on Facebook.

 

Did someone forward this to you? Want your own copy? Sign up here to receive The Hill's 12:30 Report in your inbox daily: http://bit.ly/2kjMNnn

 

 
WHERE THE RACE FOR THE SENATE STANDS

The 10 Senate seats most likely to flip:

Via The Hill's Jordain Carney, Republicans are growing more confident they will increase their Senate majority after the midterm elections tomorrow. http://bit.ly/2zvfi7F

 

Which races could flip: North Dakota, Missouri, Indiana, Arizona, Nevada, Montana, Florida, West Virginia, Tennessee and Texas

 

Which Senate seats Republicans think they will pick up: North Dakota, Missouri and Indiana

 

Which Senate seats are still up for grabs: Montana and Florida

 

Reasons for each: http://bit.ly/2zvfi7F

 
WHERE THE RACE FOR THE HOUSE STANDS

This morning -- to the left, to the left: The nonpartisan Cook Political Report moved nine House races toward Democrats. Details: http://bit.ly/2DmT3VT

 

From CBS News's election tracker: https://cbsn.ws/2RwdToK

The tracker's most likely scenario: Democrats win 225 House seats; Republicans win 210

Other (less) likely scenarios: Republicans win 220 House seats; Dems win 215 ... or

Democrats win 232 House seats; Republicans win 203 

 

From Politico's Steven Shepard -- what would need to happen for Republicans to keep the House: "Republicans would have to sweep virtually all of the 22 races currently rated as toss-ups to hold onto their House majority -- a nearly insurmountable challenge." Analysis: https://politi.co/2F5UuJW

 

From election forecaster Nate Silver -- why Dems and Republicans have an equal chance of winning the House: FiveThirtyEight's election forecaster Nate Silver said the chances of Democrats taking the House are just as likely as Republicans keeping the House. Why: "The range of outcomes in the House is really wide." http://bit.ly/2D3iN8J

 
WHAT TO KNOW FOR ELECTION DAY

Getting to the polls: Ridesharing apps, including Uber and Lyft, are offering free or discounted rides to voters heading to the poll. Details of each offer: http://bit.ly/2PDpWUa

 

When and where to vote: "Most polling places open anywhere from 6 to 8 a.m. and close from 6 to 9 p.m. local time. These schedules vary by state but can also differ by county or city." Find your specific polling place: http://bit.ly/2zvpflF

 

Here's a list of D.C. election watch parties and bar specials: http://bit.ly/2OtkGxw

 

How many early ballots have been cast?: More than 34 million people have already voted. That is a 50 percent increase from 2014. http://bit.ly/2zvpDAJ

 

Whoooops: A polling location in Miami briefly ran out of ballots yesterday. https://hrld.us/2qtq5v1

 

How President Trump and former President Obama are in a full-blown proxy war: Via The Hill's Niall Stanagehttp://bit.ly/2PEVp8f

 

Oh hey, John Boehner: Former House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) called for the legalization of marijuana in a new Wall Street Journal op-ed https://on.wsj.com/2PJH6iM

 

Remember: Boehner joined the board of a cannabis company earlier this year. http://bit.ly/2P8Wfe2

 

Whether young voters will turn out: http://bit.ly/2PIYZym

 
HAPPENING THIS WEEK

I'm expecting this trial to trial to turn into a dramatic season of 'Prison Break':

The trial of Mexican drug lord Joaquín Guzmán, or 'El Chapo,' starts today in New York City What to expect: http://bit.ly/2JEzadn

 

Yes, this makes sense: Because of El Chapo's notoriety, "Heavily armed federal agents will turn the courthouse into a fortress." https://abc13.co/2ySrRub

 

Keep in mind: El Chapo has escaped from jail twice, once in 2001 and again 2015. How: He escaped through a tunnel. Photos and videos of his 2015 escape -- wooow: https://nyti.ms/2Dnbjyf 

 

It must be pretty intimidating to be a juror: "Jurors will be kept anonymous and escorted to and from the courthouse by federal officers." https://abc13.co/2ySrRub

 

Tidbit outside the courthouse: From Vice's Keegan Hamilton: "This guy pacing around outside the courthouse yelling 'free El Chapo.' I ask, 'Why should he be free?' He responds, 'He's not charged with killing anyone is he?' 'Well, he's accused of 33 murders.' 'Oh s---, really?' " http://bit.ly/2yTelq9

 

 
IN OTHER NEWS

Last night -- 'It's a no from us':

Via The New York Times's Daniel Victor, "In the middle of a highly anticipated 'Sunday Night Football' broadcast, NBC aired an immigration-themed advertisement, approved by President Trump, that CNN publicly declared to be too racist to accept as a paid ad." https://nyti.ms/2PInL1t

 

Watch the ad -- President Trump shared it on Twitter: http://bit.ly/2JGHXeL

 
JUST NOW -- NBC BACKTRACKS:

A spokesperson for NBC News just said the network will no longer air the controversial anti-immigration ad. From NBC: "After further review we recognize the insensitive nature of the ad and have decided to cease airing it across our properties as soon as possible." http://bit.ly/2AMQfPh

 
NOTABLE TWEETS

I'll tell YOU what I want, what I really, really want:

 

Watch their announcement videohttp://bit.ly/2PbEfjm

 

Ouchhh:

 
ON TAP

The House and Senate are out. President Trump is campaigning in Ohio, Indiana and Missouri. Vice President Pence is campaigning in Montana and South Dakota. 

 

12:40 p.m. EST: President Trump leaves the White House for Cleveland.

 

6:20 p.m. EST: Vice President Pence campaigns in Rapid City, S.D. 

 

10:10 p.m. EST: Vice President Pence and second lady Karen Pence get back to Washington, D.C.

 

1:40 am. EST Tuesday: President Trump gets back to the White House.

 
WHAT TO WATCH

11:45 a.m. EDT: Former President Obama campaigns in Fairfax, Va., for Democrats. Livestream: https://cs.pn/2yRjVcQ

 

2:05 p.m. EST: Vice President Pence campaigns in Kalispell, Mont. Livestream: https://cs.pn/2F3HDYF

 

2:45 p.m. EST: President Trump holds a campaign rally in Cleveland. Livestream: https://cs.pn/2RAJwO1

 

6:05 p.m. EST: President Trump holds a campaign rally in Fort Wayne, Ind. Livestream: https://cs.pn/2PcMsn6

 

10 p.m. EST: President Trump holds a campaign rally in Cape Girardeau, Mo. Oh and: Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity will appear with the president. Livestream: https://cs.pn/2RBGvwL

 
NOW FOR THE FUN STUFF...

Today is National Doughnut Day. Keep in mind: There are two days devoted to doughnuts each year: http://bit.ly/2RAY8ge

 

I do love stickers:

Here's the back story to the "I voted" stickers: http://bit.ly/2SK758u

 

And because you made it to the end, here's an incredibly clever Halloween costume: http://bit.ly/2PNO6eN

 
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National Cinemedia’s in-theater movie-based AR game, the proposed US data privacy law, Instagram’s new hashtag search API

 


 
Featured story
 

Company execs could go to jail for misusing data under proposed U.S. data privacy law

 

Nov 2, 2018 by Robin Kurzer

The GDPR-style federal legislation also provides penalties of up to 4% of a company's annual income.

 
From MarTech Today
 
National Cinemedia offers first in-theater AR game for a movie
  Nov 2, 2018 by Barry Levine

Promoting characters from Disney's upcoming 'Ralph Breaks the Internet,' the 30 second game is the latest in the cinema ad network's embrace of pre-show AR.

 
The MarTech Minute: MediaMath's blockchain verification tool, new data syncing tech for Screen6, more
  Nov 2, 2018 by Robin Kurzer

The martech week in review: News and announcements in marketing technology this week that you might have missed.

 
Bridging the gap: Creating the perfect customer journey
  Nov 2, 2018 by Rex Briggs

How to assess your business' needs and adopt tools that provide real-time, person-based insights into your marketing efforts.

 
Agencies must now confirm client relationships before enabling Facebook Pixel and event sets
  Nov 2, 2018 by Amy Gesenhues

Aiming to be more transparent about ad targeting practices, Facebook is updating policies attached to its Pixel and event sets.

 
Instagram introduces new hashtag search API for businesses
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