Happy Wednesday and welcome back to On The Money. I'm Sylvan Lane, and here's your nightly guide to everything affecting your bills, bank account and bottom line. See something I missed? Let me know at slane@thehill.com or tweet me @SylvanLane. And if you like your newsletter, you can subscribe to it here: http://bit.ly/1NxxW2N. Write us with tips, suggestions and news: slane@thehill.com, vneedham@thehill.com, njagoda@thehill.com and nelis@thehill.com. Follow us on Twitter: @SylvanLane, @VickofTheHill, @NJagoda and @NivElis. THE BIG DEAL--Fed holds steady on rates after record shutdown: The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Wednesday following the record-long government shutdown -- and amid growing concern about the future strength of the U.S. economy. The bank's Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) announced at the end of its first meeting of the year that it would keep the federal funds rate at a range of 2.25 to 2.5 percent. The Fed was widely expected to hold off on a hike after raising rates in December, the fourth increase in 2018 and ninth since 2015. Senior Fed officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell, had hinted at a pause in rate hikes in speeches and public interviews throughout January. Powell said Wednesday that the Fed is "patiently awaiting greater clarity" in a "somewhat contradictory picture" as the economy's continued strength faces threats from waning global growth and geopolitical factors. I break down the Fed's decision here. The background: The Fed is attempting to navigate murky economic waters after the five-week partial government shutdown, the longest shutdown in U.S. history that only ended on Friday, and amid spreading fears of an impending global slowdown. - Powell cited the potential turmoil caused by economic slowness in Europe and China, a messy divorce for the United Kingdom and European Union and interminable trade battles: "The cross currents I mentioned suggest the risk of a less favorable outlook."
- The International Monetary Fund last week slashed its projections for global growth, and economists expect the U.S. to fall below 3 percent annualized GDP growth in 2019. Some major tech companies and manufacturers are reporting lackluster earnings driven by a plunge in global demand, particularly from China.
The decision: Fed officials have touted the strength of the U.S. economy but say they're approaching the cloudy economic picture with patience. With inflation staying below the Fed's 2 percent target despite a tight U.S. labor market, FOMC members have signaled a desire to hold off on rate hikes for now. "The case for raising rates has weakened somewhat," Powell said Wednesday. "We think that our policy stance is appropriate right now." |
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